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Reload this Page Future Weather: Irene

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Old 08-23-2011, 05:49 AM   #1
likwid
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PRBuzz View Post
Repeat of BOB? Only land falling hurricane of 1991, direct hit on NE.
Similar is possible.

NOGAPS shows it taking a similar track except a little more East at Hatteras then running us down, GFS mean (consensus) shows Nantucket getting a direct hit.

General consensus shows somewhere between Patchogue LI and Nantucket. Basically nothing good.
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Old 08-23-2011, 06:47 AM   #2
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This morning's model:
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Old 08-23-2011, 07:11 AM   #3
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8am refresh looking a bit better, but its still a week away and the resolution is crap.

Showing staying offshore along the canyons which means lots of wind/rain/waves/surge.

This could change.

GFS doesn't make me happy.
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Old 08-24-2011, 05:57 AM   #4
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This morning's model:
6am = more left again.

Landfall still somewhere between LI and Nantucket.
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Old 08-24-2011, 11:05 AM   #5
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Evacuations begin in NC as Irene strengthens - Weather - msnbc.com


I'm not loving this track, for where I am.
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Old 08-24-2011, 11:11 AM   #6
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11am model - a little more east - local stations saying though that it may be at Cat 2 when it comes to New England over the previous Cat 1
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