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The Scuppers This is a new forum for the not necessarily fishing related topics...

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Old 09-02-2011, 05:00 PM   #1
JohnR
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Round 2 - Katia (Tracking, venting, swearing...)

Let's see. TS Hurricane Katia has been trending well west of previous tracks. Interesting. A couple days ago it was forecast to go east of Bermuda, now it is forecast to go west of Bermuda.

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Old 09-02-2011, 05:09 PM   #2
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It's coming
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Old 09-02-2011, 05:16 PM   #3
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Rumor has it that Mother Nature got really pessed at Drudge for pushing the Irene was hyped story, so she's going to give us the jab uppercut combination.
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Old 09-02-2011, 05:18 PM   #4
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if TD 13 takes it's time coming up, it's not going to be pretty
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Old 09-02-2011, 05:37 PM   #5
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actually with the vertical wind shear and the drier air she is moving into, she may fizzle out.
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Old 09-03-2011, 09:23 AM   #6
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little more northward on the track once she clears Bermuda Thursday

Hurricane Katia : Computer Model Hurricane Forecasts : Weather Underground
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Old 09-03-2011, 09:36 AM   #7
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Should make for some nice surfing...if I surfed.

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Old 09-03-2011, 08:53 PM   #8
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More to the left.

Tropical Storm Katia : Computer Model Hurricane Forecasts : Weather Underground

Depending on the interaction of Lee and the low trough bringing Lee to the NE by Tuesday-Wednesday, we could see a real mess next week or just high surf.
Anything not cleaned up by Tuesday in western ma is going to get reflooded mid-week

Tropical Storm KATIA Forecast Discussion
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Old 09-04-2011, 06:18 AM   #9
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Hatteras is in the cone of DOOooOoooooooOooOoooooOOOOM

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Old 09-04-2011, 09:19 AM   #10
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Hope it makes those swings indicated by the models or so may be our turn in the cone of doom.

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Old 09-04-2011, 09:37 AM   #11
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depends on what the stalled front mid-week across the eastern part of the country does

http://www.weather.com/weather/hurri...eat_2011-09-03
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Old 09-04-2011, 10:58 AM   #12
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If it does come my awning isn't going back up again.

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Old 09-04-2011, 11:18 AM   #13
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i hope it misses Vermont

they are in a world of troubles
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Old 09-04-2011, 11:35 AM   #14
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Remnants, of TS Lee, is looking at this time to take the same track the the western edges of Irene did. Which is NY - Vt.
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Old 09-04-2011, 06:55 PM   #15
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Haven't put the generator away yet nor put back the flyables, if
that's a word.

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Old 09-05-2011, 07:52 AM   #16
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hurricane Lee is on the way...

gonna arrive next sunday

fairly close to a full moon
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Old 09-05-2011, 08:01 AM   #17
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It appears to be a swing and a miss, by friday into Saturday, there is a ridge of high pressure stretching across the north atlantic, both Lee and Katia bounce off of it and exit stage right..

Here is the model animation for the GFS and NAM , where you can see the pressure gradients and the resulting action modeled for Katia

Maps : Weather Underground
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Old 09-05-2011, 05:42 PM   #18
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TiMing is every things
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Old 09-06-2011, 06:59 AM   #19
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Predicted to turn nicely now. Hopefully it keeps turning far away from us!

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Old 09-06-2011, 07:47 AM   #20
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This is still worth watching. Hit cat 4 for a while and should hold shape which will make the western edge stronger. Moisture coming from the south is making this a little bit harder to predict when it will turn north.
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Old 09-07-2011, 11:57 AM   #21
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Round 3?

Katia is a dud except for some BIG swells coming into the south coastal areas and making for an interesting HelenH canyon trip this weekend but time to start a new thread:

Round 3 - Maria (tracking, venting, swearing, etc.)

Much more interesting track!

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